Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.201045 0.233439 0.269424 0.312372 0.362257 0.418401 0.486426
2025-05-04 0.152438 0.196188 0.250007 0.321139 0.412806 0.527137 0.680872
2025-05-11 0.124523 0.171974 0.234574 0.323325 0.446182 0.610667 0.848370
2025-05-18 0.104007 0.152119 0.219308 0.320171 0.468190 0.678178 1.000088
2025-05-25 0.087017 0.133719 0.202217 0.310254 0.477011 0.725741 1.127062
2025-06-01 0.078166 0.125568 0.198225 0.318027 0.511545 0.813521 1.323783
2025-06-08 0.069535 0.116302 0.190913 0.319020 0.534704 0.885418 1.503569
2025-06-15 0.063304 0.109910 0.187074 0.324630 0.565296 0.971889 1.717197
2025-06-22 0.055861 0.100405 0.176738 0.317639 0.573124 1.020382 1.870733
2025-06-29 0.050204 0.093235 0.169407 0.314715 0.587242 1.080648 2.051753
2025-07-06 0.046019 0.088157 0.165086 0.316508 0.609778 1.158027 2.273255
2025-07-13 0.044039 0.086922 0.167569 0.331172 0.658002 1.288161 2.611475
2025-07-20 0.041673 0.084745 0.168191 0.342664 0.702201 1.417227 2.967520
2025-07-27 0.039275 0.082225 0.167875 0.352306 0.744044 1.547011 3.343165
2025-08-03 0.036389 0.078327 0.164299 0.354707 0.771015 1.649371 3.673773
2025-08-10 0.033275 0.073552 0.158334 0.351243 0.784892 1.725582 3.956812
2025-08-17 0.029874 0.067737 0.149481 0.340352 0.781001 1.762668 4.156212
2025-08-24 0.028400 0.066032 0.149337 0.348889 0.821870 1.903691 4.614461
2025-08-31 0.026496 0.063112 0.146139 0.349979 0.845531 2.008102 4.998935
2025-09-07 0.025120 0.061262 0.145159 0.356139 0.881911 2.146335 5.484040
2025-09-14 0.022970 0.057294 0.138780 0.348462 0.883533 2.201249 5.766569
2025-09-21 0.021299 0.054309 0.134418 0.345251 0.895912 2.283975 6.131748
2025-09-28 0.020069 0.052295 0.132204 0.347220 0.921787 2.403678 6.610720